IA-03: View of the Boswell-Fallon race from the ground

I wish I could say I saw this one coming, but I was pleasantly surprised Tuesday morning to read the Des Moines Register's editorial urging Democrats in Iowa's third Congressional district to give Ed Fallon "a chance to unleash some of his ideas and energy in Washington."

That's right, the same editorial board that endorsed Hillary Clinton five months ago because of her experience, readiness to lead and hard work in the Senate has determined that Congressman Leonard Boswell "falls short."

Join me after the jump for more on this endorsement and other recent developments in the campaign.

The Des Moines Register's argument against Boswell is different from the case I have been making. For many progressives, including myself, Boswell's numerous votes with Republicans on vital issues are the deal-breaker in this primary. This great website produced by Progressive Kick provides the gory details about Boswell's bad voting record, but Matt Stoller sums it up succinctly:

If you can name it, Boswell's bad on it.  Free trade, net neutrality, torture in the Military Commissions Act, subsidies for oil and gas companies, CAFE standards, the estate tax, increasing the use of coal, immigration, the Bankruptcy Bill, factory hog confinements, etc.

Boswell's campaign has tried to keep the focus away from his stands on those issues. Instead, they have emphasized his long record of service to constituents, as well as his alleged clout.

Which would be great if he had a list of important legislation he had co-sponsored, or at least a mastery of policy details. But he showed up unprepared for his interview with the Des Moines Register's editorial board, and they were not impressed:

Boswell's own record of accomplishment in a dozen years in Congress is relatively light, and, in a recent meeting with the editorial board, he seemed out of touch about some serious issues facing the country.

One example: Boswell expressed skepticism about the financial problems facing Medicare, asking what economists the Register had consulted to conclude the health-care program was in fiscal trouble. It's hardly an issue for debate. The Medicare Board of Trustees has issued numerous reports outlining the trust fund's looming deficits. David Walker, former comptroller general, has expressed concerns about projected Medicare spending. Yet Boswell talked about further studying the issue rather than proposing how to address it.

Click the link to read other examples of Boswell's unrealistic or uninformed answers to questions asked by the Register's editorial board.

The Register said Fallon "stands out" for being "frequently on the right side of issues":

He supports a taxpayer-financed health-insurance system that would cover everyone, and he wants to reform the wasteful prescription-drug program.

A longtime peace activist, he has steadfastly opposed the war in Iraq.

During his meeting with the editorial board, Fallon said climate change is the single biggest issue the country faces. [...]

Fallon said Washington needs more people to "think independently and critically." That's the best argument for selecting him as the 3rd District Democratic nominee.

I don't intend to exaggerate the importance of any newspaper endorsement, but the Register's editorial is valuable for Fallon. It underscores that he is a credible candidate.

The first hurdle for any longshot candidate, especially a challenger to a well-entrenched incumbent, is to get the voters and the media to take the challenge seriously.

Boswell's campaign has tried to depict Fallon as a fringe candidate, but it's hard to sustain that position with the Des Moines Register, a pillar of the Iowa establishment, backing Fallon.

Key lines from the editorial support Fallon's claim to represent "New Energy for Iowa," the tag line on his yard signs and his campaign literature.

Fallon's biggest challenge will be to spread the word about this endorsement with only six days left in the campaign and much less cash on hand than Boswell has. The campaign immediately put the editorial up on the front page of the candidate's website, but it's not clear whether he has the funds to run television or radio advertisements this week. Fallon's campaign has apparently had three television ads produced, but I don't know if or when those will hit the airwaves.

Open Left launched a fundraiser for Fallon yesterday and created this page for it at Act Blue. Blue America has also added Fallon to its Act Blue page.

Every politically-active Iowan I talked to yesterday was surprised by the Des Moines Register's endorsement. In elections to school boards and city councils, the newspaper usually endorses incumbents rather than insurgent candidates. Some interpreted the editorial as a sign that the Register had been leaning toward Boswell until he blew the interview.

Iowa blogger John Deeth advanced the intriguing theory that this endorsement was the price Boswell paid for refusing to debate Fallon.

Speaking of which, Boswell has scheduled a bunch of events in the Des Moines area this week, including a radio appearance tonight at 6 pm. This date (May 28) was one of the options discussed for the Des Moines Register-sponsored debate, but Boswell was apparently too busy.

Fallon will appear tonight at an "empty chair" candidate forum in Des Moines hosted by several progressive groups.

Other recent developments in the campaign:

Boswell's office still has not responded to questions regarding his stand on the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, and specifically whether he supported Republican efforts earlier this month to add the Senate version of the FISA bill (which House Democrats oppose) to the 2009 intelligence appropriation. Matt Stoller included Fallon's open letter to Boswell on the FISA issue here.

You can watch the videos of Fallon and Boswell speaking with the Des Moines Register's editorial board on this page of the newspaper's website. Stoller included the Boswell video in his post at Open Left as well.

Last week Fallon called for a moratorium on confined-animal feeding operations (CAFOs), amid growing evidence that they impose huge hidden costs on society while state governments lack the political will to regulate them.

Last Thursday Boswell's campaign released partial results from an internal poll showing the incumbent with 65 percent support among likely voters. The campaign has not responded to my request for more information about this poll (such as when it was in the field, the number of respondents, what criteria were used to code a respondent as a likely voter, and so on). The only public poll of the race, taken more than a month ago, showed Boswell up 52-28.

A sign of the incumbent's confidence is that he finally promised to support the winner of the June 3 primary, according to the weekly Cityview.

Amusingly, the same article quoted Boswell as saying,

"If you look at the issues, there's just not a lot of difference between us," Boswell said. "He's taking things out of context and trying to conjure up differences that don't exist."

On Monday Fallon unveiled the endorsements of several members of the Democratic Party's central committee in Jasper County, which is the second-largest county in the district. He hasn't had much support from members of the Democratic Party establishment.

Yesterday a direct-mail piece produced by an anti-Fallon 527 group hit Democrats' mailboxes in the district. It highlights the fact that Fallon was the only member of the Iowa House to vote against a 2002 law banning sex offenders from living within 2,000 feet of a school or day-care center. The full text of that misleading hit piece is here. It's worth noting that both the Iowa County Attorneys Association and national advocates for exploited children have spoken out against such residency restrictions as useless.

The irony is that the Des Moines Register's editorial endorsing Fallon mentioned that very vote as an example of Fallon being right on the issues, since the law has not been shown to provide any protection for children, and only makes it harder for law enforcement officials to track sex offenders.

To sum up, only a fool would pretend that Fallon does not have a big hill to climb in this race. Boswell started out with big advantages in name recognition, money, and establishment support. The available polling shows the incumbent way ahead. Fallon has expressed optimism based on his campaign's voter contacts, but the payroll expenses associated with his large field staff have left him without much cash to advertise during the final weeks.

The big question mark is whose supporters will be more motivated to show up for a low-turnout primary. Your guess is as good as mine.

I leave you with a funny You Tube video from the Fallon campaign. Watch voters struggle to tell the difference between two Boswell direct-mail pieces on health care. One of them was financed by taxpayers in an abuse of Boswell's franking privilege a few months ago. The other was produced and mailed using Boswell's campaign funds (a detailed description of that piece is here). Here is the video:



Display:


Re: IA-03: View of the Boswell-Fallon race (2.00 / 2)

Good diary, DesmoinesDem.

I hope Fallon can do it.  The DMR endorsement should help.  


by TomP on Wed May 28, 2008 at 09:48:23 AM EST

whatever his chances are today (2.00 / 2)

they are better than his chances were two days ago.

Boots on the ground will determine the outcome.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Wed May 28, 2008 at 09:51:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Register had another article today (none / 0)

This time it was about the "empty chair" debate, and Boswell's dubious excuses for avoiding it.


by RunawayRose on Wed May 28, 2008 at 04:51:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: IA-03: View of the Boswell-Fallon race from th (none / 0)

Don't understand the reasoning behind the gratuitous Hillary reference?


by dembluestates on Wed May 28, 2008 at 09:50:52 AM EST

Boswell says we should re-elect him (2.00 / 2)

because of his experience and hard work.

The Des Moines Register, which valued those qualities in Clinton, has come to the conclusion that Boswell doesn't measure up.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Wed May 28, 2008 at 10:01:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Boswell says we should re-elect him (1.50 / 2)

huh, you mean being a congressman is exactly the same as president? my, who knew!? But hey you love to blame Hillary for everything so no shocker that you would toss that in to spoil what could have been a positive diary, no instead you went negative. Sadly typical of a BHO'er...


by zerosumgame on Wed May 28, 2008 at 10:56:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Um... (2.00 / 1)

Who said anything about their elective offices?  Who's blaming anything on Clinton?  Seriously, where do get this stuff?

It's very simple: the DMR editors decided Clinton had the right stuff.  They looked at Boswell, and didn't see those same qualities in him.  Why are you all pissed again?


Tim Wolfe

John McCain is not pro-choice!

by bruorton on Wed May 28, 2008 at 12:13:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

you're angry at the wrong person (2.00 / 1)

Bleeding Heartland is the last bastion of Obamaskepticism in the Iowa blogosphere. For instance:

http://www.bleedingheartland.com/showDia ry.do?diaryId=1297

http://www.bleedingheartland.com/showDia ry.do?diaryId=1094

http://www.bleedingheartland.com/showDia ry.do?diaryId=1393

http://www.bleedingheartland.com/showDia ry.do?diaryId=1364

Although I supported Edwards, I am not a Hillary-hater. I have been doing battle with the overzealous Obama fans at Daily Kos for months now.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Wed May 28, 2008 at 12:48:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I did. (2.00 / 2)

DMR endorsed Clinton because of her experience and now endorse Fallon because he is a new voice.  It's just contrast.

Not everything in life revolves around the Clinton v. Obama drama.  


by TomP on Wed May 28, 2008 at 10:02:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I did. (none / 0)

"Not everything in life revolves around the Clinton v. Obama drama."

so then why the inane comparison of congressman to pres? Just more BHO mean-spiritedness it looks loike.


by zerosumgame on Wed May 28, 2008 at 10:57:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

More paranoia by you. (2.00 / 1)

To my knowledge, Desmoines Dem has not endorsed Obama or Clinton.

Keep trying to spread hate and division among Democrats. It won't work.


by TomP on Wed May 28, 2008 at 11:19:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: IA-03: View of the Boswell-Fallon race from th (2.00 / 1)

I think there was a diary somewhere about yard signs in the Des Moines area.

It basically said people had Fallon/Obama in their yard or Boswell/Clinton.  Not a lot of crossover.

So when the Des Moines Register first endorses Hillary and then endorses Fallon, its going against the grain a little bit.


by razr on Wed May 28, 2008 at 04:46:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Great diary (2.00 / 2)

Once again, you've treated us to a great diary filled with analysis and details.

Do you think Fallon can / has put together an effective GOTV operation?


John McCain: Four More Years of Failure.
by dannybauder on Wed May 28, 2008 at 10:22:19 AM EST

he's put everything into the field operation (2.00 / 1)

and I know they have been working hard. Fallon himself has been on the phones or knocking on doors every day.

A friend of mine in a different Des Moines suburb got called by Fallon himself a couple of weeks ago.

As for how effective it will be, I guess we will all find out next Tuesday.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Wed May 28, 2008 at 12:50:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: he's put everything into the field operation (2.00 / 1)

desmoinesdem, back in the presidential primary, the general pundit consensus seemed to be that Iowa voters were pretty sophisticted and more swayed by retail politics than TV ads.  Do you think in retrospect that was a correct generalization (did all the ads Obama ran help him significantly)? And if it was true for the presidential race, do you think it holds for the Fallon/Boswell race as well, or does Fallon's lack of money for ads really handicap him?


John McCain doesn't think kids need health insurance
by katerina on Wed May 28, 2008 at 05:12:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

so many factors played into Obama's victory (2.00 / 1)

It's hard to sort them out. I don't think his paid ads won it for him, but they were obviously part of an overall branding/marketing strategy that has worked well for Obama in many parts of the country.

The problem for Fallon is that Boswell and his supporters have sent numerous direct-mail pieces out trying to define him in a negative way, and Fallon has not been able to respond in kind, even through direct-mail, let along tv and radio.

Then again, turnout on June 3 will be a lot lower than it was for the caucuses. How much lower, I have no idea. Maybe the primary voters are less likely to be swayed by ads, but they still will have received many more direct communications from Boswell than from Fallon.


John McCain: 100 years in Iraq "would be fine with me."
by desmoinesdem on Wed May 28, 2008 at 07:21:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: IA-03: View of the Boswell-Fallon race from th (2.00 / 2)

Wow, thats terrific.


by Jerome Armstrong on Wed May 28, 2008 at 10:54:38 AM EST

In hopes Fallon can get out the word (2.00 / 1)

I gave $25 to OpenLeft's Fallon fundraiser this morning.  

But thanks to your diary, I'm feeling encouraged that this is not only a fight that's good for the issues (such as Boswell reversing a few egregious positions he'd taken) -- but just maybe a chance for progressives to win, and improve the new Congress we'll get next year.

Political muscle won't matter much next year with too many people like Boswell, unwilling to really use it.  I encourage everyone who can to chip in as well!


Tim Wolfe

John McCain is not pro-choice!

by bruorton on Wed May 28, 2008 at 12:22:03 PM EST

Re: IA-03: View of the Boswell-Fallon race from th (2.00 / 1)

Good diary and good news for Fallon.  It's definitely remarkable for a primary challenger to get an endorsement like this!

I am scratching my head at how some of the commentors decided there was some cheap shot hidden in the reference to Hillary Clinton.  Sometimes when I read this site I get the impression that somewhere out there, a barn door has been left open.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Wed May 28, 2008 at 12:27:11 PM EST

The shifting battle lines (2.00 / 1)

I've kicked a few bucks to Fallon, but an interesting anecdote on Boswell.

During Howard Dean's 2004 run - Boswell was one of the Dems that I remember we lobbied quite heavily to support Dean.

It was a big 'get' when he did decide to back Dean -- and I remember I even sent Boswell $20 in 2004 for his GE seat defense.

I also have this vague recollection of a Dean IA rally, with Boswell present, where Dean gave his usual fiery speech about Democrats needing to act like Democrats -- about the mistake of voting yes like sheep on the AUMF (which Boswell voted for), about the mistake of voting yes like sheep on the PATRIOT Act (ditto).

I remember seeing Boswell, up on stage, shrugging his shoulders in an embarrassing "aw shucks, I blew it I guess" sort of way.

I remember after the rally thinking how silly superdelegates were, way back then... thinking "Geez... this is precisely the type of thing we're fighting against, yet I've kissed his ass in letters and with cash because we need his support?"


by zonk on Wed May 28, 2008 at 01:06:29 PM EST

Re: The shifting battle lines (2.00 / 1)

Fascinating tale.  Sounds like Boswell was, probably like a lot of superdelegates, just trying to hitch his wagon to the right horse.  Funny that he had so little in common with the one he hitched to in that case!


Tim Wolfe

John McCain is not pro-choice!

by bruorton on Wed May 28, 2008 at 02:38:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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